中国保险业SBM效率实证分析——基于修正的三阶段DEA模型

利用修正的三阶段DEA法,实证评估2005～2007年中国保险业的SBM效率。研究表明：若忽略松弛量的影响,对外生环境变量和随机误差因素不作控制,不仅会低估保险公司的经营效率,而且还会使估计出的不同保险公司的效率相对值发生偏误;在对环境因素和随机误差进行调整后,2005～2007年保险业整体的平均SBM效率值达到0.76,比调整前上升25%;市场份额、规模、成立年数、资本结构都是对中国保险业SBM效率产生显著影响的主要环境因素。     

合肥城市经济圈同城化效应研究

文章在对城市经济圈同城化的内涵进行分析的基础上,对合肥城市经济圈同城化的现状及特征进行归纳总结,并重点对制约合肥经济圈同城化效应充分发挥的障碍性因素进行了分析,最后从产业、区域以及政策层面分别提出了针对性的政策建议。     

Ethical evaluations, intentions, and orientations of accountants: Evidence from a cross-cultural examination

Society has high expectations concerning accounting professionals. More than ever, accountants need professional values and ethics that allow them to operate successfully and with integrity in a changing world. This study is a first attempt to understand the ethical evaluations, intentions, and orientations of accounting professionals and students from Latin American countries. Another objective is to validate the multidimensional ethics scale used by Cohen et al. [1998] in an international setting. The results did not validate such a scale but offer interesting findings about the Latin American sample. In such a context, ethics appear to be a collective concern guided by a different concept of equity. The results indicate that the respondents consider justice a superior value over what is considered correct, acceptable, or good.     

关于河北省文化创意产业发展策略的思考

近年来,不少国家和地区开始把文化创意产业作为重点发展产业,并采取相应的政策措施和手段来积极推动其发展。河北省作为我国文化资源大省,有着悠久的历史文化,为河北省发展文化创意产业提供了文化载体。本文对河北省发展文化创意产业的意义和当前的主要问题进行了分析,对文化创意产业未来的发展方向提出了建议。     

Corporate reputations in UK biotechnology: an analysis of on‐line ‘company profile’ texts

Internet technology is creating a new corporate communications framework, which is affecting communication channels, corporate audiences, message content and form, communication feedback and corporate personae. Confronted with a complex communications environment, which is characterized by many conflicting views and highly sensitive topics, biotechnology companies have to transmit a clear and powerful message to their target audiences. This study analyses the projection of corporate images in the ‘company profile’ texts published on‐line by biotechnology firms in the UK.     

国际货物贸易与入境旅游的关系及其溢出效应

文章以分析国际货物贸易与入境旅游互动关系为基础,建立包含入境旅游、国际货物贸易、经济增长、人口规模和对外开放等变量在内的动态面板回归模型,利用1985～2009年中国与欧洲七国的国际货物贸易额与入境旅游人数的面板数据与时间序列数据,采用面板回归分析法、格兰杰因果法、脉冲响应函数和方差分解法,分析了进口贸易和出口贸易对入境旅游的相互关系及其溢出效应。结果表明:(1)1985～2009年以来,我国出口贸易和进口贸易与入境旅游增长存在显著的正相关关系;(2)出口贸易与入境旅游增长具有互为因果的相互推动效应,而进口贸易与入境旅游增长之间则只存在单向格兰杰因果关系;(3)入境旅游对出口贸易和进口贸易的增长反应强烈,且呈正向效应;(4)方差分解结果表明,进口贸易和出口贸易对入境旅游增长变动具有不同的贡献度。     

The Exchange Rate and Monetary Policy in Kenya

The paper assesses whether the exchange rate is affected by monetary policy and whether these effects are permanent or transitory. In addition, the paper takes the position that once the exchange rate regime has been chosen it determines the flexibility of monetary policy. The real exchange rate is decomposed into cyclical and permanent components. Causality tests are performed between several measures of monetary shocks (consistent with other empirical works) and the cyclical component of the real exchange rate. The results show that excess money supply predict each other with the cyclical movements of the real exchange rate. In the second stage a model of nominal exchange rate is estimated. Since we find cointegration, the model is estimated with first‐difference of the variables, the cyclical component of the real exchange rate and the cointegrating vectors. The results show that the nominal exchange rate over the period is determined by real income growth, the rate of inflation, money supply growth, the cycles in the real exchange rate movements, the cointegrating vectors and shocks. The first cointegrating vector is normalized with money supply and the second with nominal exchange rate; they show a differential in adjustment speeds reflecting the fact that the nominal exchange rate movements responds quickly to one type of disequilibrium and slowly to the other. For the first vector the adjustment speed is consistent with an exchange rate policy that accommodates monetary disequilibrium in order to protect reserves or with a market determined exchange rate responding to excess money supply. This vector portrays the underlying monetary responses during different exchange rate regimes. In addition the results from causality tests between the official exchange rate and the parallel rate show that even though the parallel market was illegal, the central bank in determining the crawl (during the crawling rate regime) took into account the value of the currency in the parallel market, but did not hook the crawl entirely on the parallel market developments. This shows an element of backward indexation. Ce document cherche àétablir si la politique monétaire a des effets sur le taux de change et si ces effets sont permanents ou transitoires. En outre, il estime qu’une fois le régime de change choisi, celui‐ci détermine la flexibilité de la politique monétaire. Le taux de change réel est décomposé en éléments cyclique et permanent. Des tests de causalité sont effectués entre différentes mesures entrant en jeu dans les chocs monétaires (à l’instar de ce qui se fait dans les autres travaux empiriques) et l’élément cyclique du taux de change réel. Il en résulte que l’excédent de masse monétaire et les fluctuations cycliques du taux de change réel s’annoncent mutuellement. Dans un deuxième temps, un modèle du taux de change réel est élaboré. Dans la mesure où il y a co‐intégration, le modèle est évalué grâce à la différence première des variables, à l’élément cyclique du taux de change réel et aux vecteurs de co‐intégration. Il en découle que le taux de change nominal sur la période est déterminé par la croissance du revenu réel, le taux d’inflation, la croissance de la masse monétaire, les cycles de fluctuation du taux de change réel, les vecteurs de co‐intégration et les chocs. Le premier vecteur de co‐intégration est normalisé avec la masse monétaire et le second avec le taux de change nominal; ils font apparaître un différentiel dans les rythmes d’ajustement, donnant à penser que les fluctuations du taux de change nominal réagissent rapidement à un type de déséquilibre et lentement à un autre. Pour le premier vecteur, le rythme d’ajustement cadre avec une politique de change tenant compte du déséquilibre monétaire afin de protéger les réserves ou avec un taux de change déterminé par le marché en réponse à une masse monétaire excédentaire. Ce vecteur illustre les réponses monétaires sous‐jacentes lors des différents régimes de change. Par ailleurs, les tests de causalité entre le taux de change officiel et le taux parallèle montrent que, malgré le caractère illégal du marché parallèle, la banque centrale prenait en compte la valeur de la monnaie sur le marché parallèle pour déterminer l’ajustement à apporter (à l’époque du régime de parité mobile), sans lier entièrement cet ajustement à l’évolution du marché, ce qui indique une certaine indexation régressive.     

论跨国并购中合作型劳资关系的构建

由于文化差异和利益矛盾,企业跨国并购过程中容易产生劳资冲突的问题。合作型的劳资关系强调相互理解和适应,通过平等协商、参与管理和利益分享等机制和措施,实现外国投资方和东道国劳动者的双赢。     

Food safety knowledge,behavior and attitude of Libyan consumers

This research aims to study and analyze the relationship between consumer awareness and consumer protection issues relating to food safety; the researcher defined a set of variables associated to consumer awareness in this research to study the relationship between this awareness and between some of the economic and social characteristics of consumers such as the level of income for the head of household, level of education for the research samples and some other characteristics related to awareness of the consumers. To achieve this goal the researcher prepared a questionnaire for this purpose which been fulfilled from a random sample of Libyan students who are studying at Near East University in various specialist and stages of university study. To analysis these data the researcher has used non-parametric statistical analysis for the previous relationship, due to the nature of metadata where Chi square has been used to study the moral awareness of the relationship between the consumer and all of the level of income and level of education. These results showed the presence of statistically significant relationship between the level of consumer awareness and the level of income and the level of education, the results also showed that there were significant correlation between consumer awareness and all of the level of income and level of education. The study concluded that consumer protection policies should be directed to teach and educate consumers with a focus on lower-income segments of society and in the lower level of education.     

关于系统性风险度量和预警的模型综述

实现对系统性风险的准确度量和预警是控制系统性风险的首要任务,金融危机之前对于系统性风险的度量大部分还是基于宏观经济与金融体系的冲击及联系的角度展开的,对于机构之间、市场之间的相关性度量还很欠缺。本文从模型依托的数据角度出发,梳理基于不同市场数据模型的发展脉络,总结系统性风险度量方法的最新进展,特别是针对在危机后得以广泛发展的相关性度量模型等。